Working Papers

Research results are published in the Working Paper series. All reports in this series are available in English.

Working Papers 2023

2023-05-16 - 156

The Environmental Medium-Term Economic (EMEC) Model: Version 4

Working Papers 2021

2021-09-03 - 155

Automatic fiscal stabilizers in Sweden 1998–2019

2021-02-02 - 154

Nowcasting Swedish GDP Growth

Working Papers 2020

2020-09-16 - 153

Time-Varying Macroeconomic Forecast Uncertainty: Sweden and the Covid-19 Pandemic

All Issues in the Working Paper Series

Working-paper-156-The-environmental-medium-term-economic-(emec)-model.pdf Pdf, 2.5 MB.
Working-paper-155-Automatiska-stabilisatorer.pdf Pdf, 1.3 MB.
Working-paper-154-Nowcasting-swedish-gdp-growth.pdf Pdf, 588.6 kB.
Working-paper-153-Time-varying-macroeconomic-forecast-uncertainty.pdf Pdf, 695.5 kB.
Working-paper-152-Forecasting-inflation-in-sweden.pdf Pdf, 704.2 kB.
Working-paper-151-Effects-of-the-cancellation-mechanism.pdf Pdf, 401.2 kB.
Working-paper-150-Assessing-the-rebound-effect.pdf Pdf, 857.1 kB.
Working-paper-149-Wage-flexibility.pdf Pdf, 1 MB.
Working-paper-148-Direct-and-indirect-effects-of-waste-management-policies-on-household-waste-behaviour.pdf Pdf, 222.2 kB.
Working Paper 147: Short Run Effects of Fiscal Policy on GDP and Employment: Swedish Evidence Pdf, 1.7 MB.
Working Paper 146: Forecasting Goods and Services Inflation in Sweden Pdf, 890.3 kB.
Working Paper 145: Do Inflation Expectations Granger Cause Inflation? Pdf, 965.5 kB.
Working Paper 144: Forecasting employment growth in Sweden using a Bayesian VAR model Pdf, 1.1 MB.
Working paper 143: Quasi-Real-Time Data of the Economic Tendency Survey Pdf, 1.1 MB.
Working Paper 142: The Rise in Life Expectancy, Health Trends among the Elderly, and the Demand for Health and Social Care Pdf, 670.1 kB.
Working Paper 141: IOR - NIER' s Input-Output Model of the Swedish Economy.pdf Pdf, 1.7 MB.
Working Paper 139: Do Swedish Consumer Confidence Indicators Do What They Are Intended to Do? Pdf, 955.7 kB.
Working Paper 138: Macroeconomic Effects of a Decline in Housing Prices in Sweden Pdf, 953.6 kB.
Working Paper 137: Appropriate Macroeconomic Model Support for the Ministry of Finance and the National Institute of Economic Research: A Pilot Study Pdf, 1.1 MB.
Working Paper 136: A statistical analysis of revisions of swedish national accounts data Pdf, 1.6 MB.
Working Paper 135: US Policy uncertainty Pdf, 1.6 MB.
Working Paper 134: The Euro Crisis and Swedish GDP Growth – A Study of Spillovers Pdf, 1.1 MB.
Working Paper 133: Challenges in Soft Linking The Case of EMEC and TIMES Sweden Pdf, 1 MB.
Working Paper 132: Exchange Rates Wages and Export Price Dynamics Pdf, 881.3 kB.
Working Paper 131: Forecasting Business Investment in the Short Term Using Survey Data Pdf, 732.5 kB.
Working Paper 130: Survey Data and Short-Term Forecasts of Swedish Growth Pdf, 697.8 kB.
Working Paper 129: On the Usefulness of Constant Gain Least Squares when Forecasting the Unemployment Rate Pdf, 846.9 kB.
Working Paper 128: Central Bank Forecasts of Policy Interest Rates: An Evaluation of the First Years Pdf, 1 MB.
Working Paper 127: Policy Interest Rate Expectations in Sweden Pdf, 618.4 kB.
Working Paper 126: Forecasting Inflation Using Constant Gain Least Squares Pdf, 368.1 kB.
Working Paper 125: Making Climate Policy Efficient Pdf, 309.4 kB.
Working Paper 124: Scenarios and Sustainability - A Swedish Case Study of Adaptation Tools for LocalDecision-Makers Pdf, 279 kB.
Working Paper 123: The Excess Cost of Supplementary Constraints in Climate Policy The Case of Sweden’s Energy Intensity Target Pdf, 215.5 kB.
Working Paper 121: The Forecasting Properties of Survey - Based Wage-Growth Expectations Pdf, 231.8 kB.
Working Paper 120: Labor-Force Participation Rates and the Informational Value of Unemployment Rates- Evidence from Disaggregated US Data Pdf, 192.5 kB.
Working Paper 119: Does environmental leadership pay off for Swedish industry - Analyzing the effects of environmental investments on efficiency Pdf, 382.1 kB.
Working Paper 118: Analysing Future Solid Waste Generation - Soft Linking a Model of Waste Management With a CGE-model for Sweden Pdf, 556.6 kB.
Working Paper 117: The Persistent Labour-Market Effects of the Financial Crisis Pdf, 271 kB.
Working Paper 116: Interpreting Wage Bargaining Norms Pdf, 291.6 kB.
Working Paper 115: In Search of a Method for Measuring the Output Gap of the Swedish Economy Pdf, 792.4 kB.
Working Paper 114: The Properties of Survey-Based Inflation Expectations in Sweden Pdf, 286.8 kB.
Working Paper 113: Unemployment and Labour-Force Participation in Sweden Pdf, 266.8 kB.
Working Paper 112: Improving Unemployment Rate Forecasts Using Survey Data Pdf, 285.3 kB.
Working Paper 111: KIMOD 2.0 Documentation of changes in the model from January 2007 to January 2009 Pdf, 1.3 MB.
Working Paper 110: The Effect on the Swedish Real Economy of the Financial Crisis Pdf, 277.5 kB.
Working Paper 109: Future Waste Scenarios for Sweden on the Basis of a CGE-model Pdf, 346.2 kB.
Working Paper 108: Does Remediation Save Lives- On the Cost of Cleaning Up Arsenic-Contaminated Sites in Sweden Pdf, 236.2 kB.
Working Paper 107: Can We Buy Time- Evaluation of the Government’s Directed Grant to Remediation in Sweden Pdf, 377.9 kB.
Working Paper 106: Strukturell utveckling av arbetskostnad Pdf, 389.8 kB.
Working Paper 105: How are Green national Accounts Produced in Practice Pdf, 312.1 kB.
Working Paper 104: Modellansatser i Konjunkturinstitutetsmedelfristprognoser Pdf, 352.8 kB.
Working Paper 103: Outcomes of a Swedish Kilometre Tax. An Analysis of Economic Effects and Effects on NOx Emissions Pdf, 352.9 kB.
Working Paper 102: Explaining adoption of end of pipe solutions and clean technologies–Determinants of firms’ investments for reducing emissions to air in four sextors in Sweden Pdf, 222.9 kB.
Working Paper 101: Nitrogen and Sulphur Outcomes of a Carbon Emissions Target Excluding Traded Allowances–An Input-Output Analysis of the Swedish Case Pdf, 240.8 kB.
Working Paper 100: KIMOD 1.0 Documentation of NIER´s Dynamic Macroeconomic General Equilibrium Model of the Swedish Economy Pdf, 1008.7 kB.
Working-paper-099-Kan-arbetsmarknadens-parter-minska-jamviktsarbetslosheten-teori-och-modellsimuleringar.pdf Pdf, 485.2 kB.
Working-paper-098-Empirical-studies-in-consumption-house-prices-and-the-accuracy-of-european-growth-and-inflation-forecasts.pdf Pdf, 1.4 MB.
Working-paper-097-The-significance-of-transport-costs-in-the-swedish-forest-industry.pdf Pdf, 239.6 kB.
Working-paper-096-The-emec-model-version-2.0.pdf Pdf, 504.9 kB.
Working-paper-095-The-effective-exchange-rate-index-kix-theory-and-practice.pdf Pdf, 397.8 kB.
Working-paper-094-Matters-risk-the-allocation-of-government-subsidies-for-remediation-of-contaminated-sites-under-the-local-investment-programme.pdf Pdf, 280.3 kB.
Working-paper-093-Costs-of-climate-policy-when-pollution-affects-health-and-labour-productivity.-a-general-equilibrium-analysis-applied-to-sweden.pdf Pdf, 291.4 kB.
Working-paper-092-When-are-fiscal-contractions-successful-lessons-for-countries-within-and-outside-the-emu.pdf Pdf, 339.3 kB.
Working-paper-091-Is-rising-returns-to-scale-a-figment-of-poor-data-.pdf Pdf, 370.4 kB.
Working-paper-090-A-new-method-for-constructing-a-cyclically-adjusted-budget-balance-the-case-of-sweden.pdf Pdf, 350.8 kB.
Working-paper-089-The-labor-market-in-kimod.pdf Pdf, 405.1 kB.
Working-paper-088-Modelling-the-foreign-sector-in-a-macroeconometric-model-of-sweden.pdf Pdf, 547 kB.
Working-paper-087-Air-quality-and-morbidity-concentration-response-relationships-for-sweden.pdf Pdf, 416 kB.
Working-paper-086-Monetary-green-accounting-and-ecosystem-services.pdf Pdf, 243.1 kB.
Working-paper-085-Applying-the-contingent-valuation-method-in-resource-accounting-a-bold-proposal.pdf Pdf, 267.5 kB.
Working-paper-084-Business-survey-data-do-they-help-in-forecasting-the-macro-economy.Pdf Pdf, 177 kB.
Working-paper-083-The-role-of-high-tech-capital-formation-for-swedish-productivity-growth.pdf Pdf, 126 kB.
Working-paper-082-Green-accounting,-air-pollution-and-health.pdf Pdf, 90.3 kB.
Working-paper-081-Simultaneous-determination-of-nairu,-output-gaps-and-structural-budget-balances-swedish-evidence.pdf Pdf, 274.2 kB.
Working-paper-080-House-prices-and-housing-investment-in-sweden-and-the-united-kingdom.-econometric-analysis-for-the-period-1970-1998.pdf Pdf, 340.4 kB.
Working-paper-079-Growth-and-business-cycles-for-the-swedish-economy.pdf Pdf, 281.2 kB.
Working-paper-078-Do-fundamentals-explain-the-behavior-of-the-real-effective-exchange-rate.pdf Pdf, 257.8 kB.
Working-paper-077-An-environmental-accountant's-dilemma--are-stumpage-prices-reliable-indicators-of-resource-scarcity.pdf Pdf, 83.6 kB.
Working-paper-076-Constructing-a-partially-environmentally-adjusted-net-domestic-product-for-sweden-1993-and-1997.pdf Pdf, 101.8 kB.
Working-paper-075-Is-co2-trading-always-beneficial--a-cge-model-analysis-on-secondary-environmental-benefits.pdf Pdf, 84.1 kB.
Working-paper-074-Improving-fractional-integration-tests-with-bootstrap-distributions.pdf Pdf, 137.4 kB.
Working-paper-073-Correcting-net-domestic-product-for-sulphur-dioxide-and-nitrogen-oxide-emissions--implementation-of-a-theoretical-model-in-practice.pdf Pdf, 82.5 kB.
Working-paper-072-The-accuracy-of-european-growth-and-inflation-forecasts.pdf Pdf, 1.2 MB.
Working-paper-071-Permanent-and-temporary-labour--job-and-worker-flows-in-sweden-1989-1998.pdf Pdf, 178.5 kB.
Working-paper-070-An-econometric-study-of-private-consumption-expenditure-in-sweden.pdf Pdf, 515.5 kB.
Working-paper-069-An-environmental-medium-term-economic-model-emec.pdf Pdf, 133.2 kB.
Working-paper-068-Alternative-measures-of-the-swedish-real-exchange-rate.pdf Pdf, 313.5 kB.
Working-paper-067-The-public-budget-balance---fiscal-indicators-and-cyclical-sensitivity-in-the-nordic-countries.pdf Pdf, 326 kB.
Working-paper-066-Unilateral-versus-a-multilateral-carbon-dioxide-tax---a-numerical-analysis-with-the-european-model-gem-e3.pdf Pdf, 81.4 kB.
Working-paper-065-Does-international-harmonization-of-environmental-policy-instruments-make-economic-sense.pdf Pdf, 130 kB.
Working-paper-064-Comparing-the-accuracy-of-european-gdp-forecasts.pdf Pdf, 803.7 kB.
Working-paper-063-Permanent-shocks-and-spillovers-a-sectoral-approach-using-a-structural-var.pdf Pdf, 109.6 kB.
Working-paper-062-Exports-in-the-econometric-model-kosmos.pdf Pdf, 60.8 kB.
Working-paper-061-Model-evaluation-using-stochastic-simulations-the-case-of-the-econometric-model-kosmos.pdf Pdf, 155.8 kB.
Working-paper-060-Kofi-a-macromodel-of-the-swedish-financial-markets-.pdf Pdf, 575 kB.
Working-paper-059-A-hidden-markov-model-as-a-dynamic-bayesian-classifier,-with-an-application-to-forecasting-business-cycle-turning-points.pdf Pdf, 7.9 MB.
Working-paper-058-The-effect-of-precautionary-saving-on-consumption-in-sweden.pdf Pdf, 279.4 kB.
Working-paper-057-Investment-plan-revisions-and-share-price-volatility.pdf Pdf, 325.6 kB.
Working-paper-056-Testing-for-short-memory-in-a-varma-process.pdf Pdf, 3.9 MB.
Working-paper-055-Three-seminar-papers-on-output-gap.pdf Pdf, 17.6 MB.
Working-paper-054-Emissions-to-the-air-and-the-allocation-of-gdp-medium-term-projections-for-sweden.pdf Pdf, 54.9 kB.
Working-paper-053-The-financial-block-in-the-econometric-model-kosmos.pdf Pdf, 25.7 MB.
Working-paper-052-Temporal-aggregation-of-an-econometric-equation.pdf Pdf, 178.7 kB.
Working-paper-051-Internationalists-regionalists-or-eurocentralists.pdf Pdf, 9 MB.
Working-paper-050-Hierarchical--assignments-stability-and-fairness.pdf Pdf, 5.4 MB.
Working-paper-049-Generational-accounting-in-a-small-open-economy.pdf Pdf, 9.8 MB.
Working-paper-048-Estimating-the-effects-of-wealth,-interest-rates-and-unemployment-on-private-consumption-in--sweden.pdf Pdf, 21.3 MB.
Working-paper-047b-Interest-rate-determination-in-the-econometric-model-kosmos.pdf Pdf, 9.8 MB.
Working-paper-047a-Determination-of-the-effective-exchange-rate-in-the-econometric-model-kosmos.pdf Pdf, 7.3 MB.
Working-paper-046-Dynamic-adjustment-and-long-run-economic-stability.pdf Pdf, 12.7 MB.
Working-paper-045-The-accuracy-of-the-swedish-national-budget-forecast-1955-1992.pdf Pdf, 10.2 MB.
Working-paper-044b-The-input-output-core--determination-of-inventory-investment-and-other-business-output-in-the-econometric-model-kosmos.pdf Pdf, 1.9 MB.
Working-paper-044a-Private-consumption-expenditure-in-the-econometric-model-kosmos.pdf Pdf, 6.9 MB.
Working-paper-043-The-output-of-the-swedish-education-sector.pdf Pdf, 8.5 MB.
Working-paper-042b-Wage-rate-determination-in-the-econometric-model-kosmos.pdf Pdf, 7.4 MB.
Working-paper-042a-Labour-supply,-hours-worked-and-unemploymen-in-the-econometric-model-kosmos.pdf Pdf, 3.8 MB.
Working-paper-041-A-converging-triangularization-algorithm-and-the-intertemporal-similarity-of-production-structures.pdf Pdf, 7.5 MB.
Working-paper-040-Hybrid-indicators-for-the-swedish-economy-based-on-noisy-statistical-data-and-the-business-tendency-survey.pdf Pdf, 8.4 MB.
Working-paper-039-Modelling-wages-subject-to-both-contracted-increments-and-drift-by-means-of-a-simultaneous-equations-m-odel-with-non-standard-error-structure.pdf Pdf, 9.2 MB.
Working-paper-038-On-the-consistency-of-data-on-production,-deliveries-and-inventories-in-the-swedish-manufacturing-industry.pdf Pdf, 5.4 MB.
Working-paper-034-On-determinants-of-private-consumption-in-sweden.pdf Pdf, 26.1 MB.
Working-paper-035-Using-business-survey-data-for-forecasting-swedish-quantitative-business-cycle-variable.-a-kalman-filter-approach.pdf Pdf, 10.1 MB.
Working-paper-036-Political-cycles-and-cyclical-policies.-a-new-test-approach-using-fiscal-forecasts.pdf Pdf, 10.4 MB.
Working-paper-037-The-supply-side-in-the-econometric-model-kosmos.pdf Pdf, 13.2 MB.
Working-paper-039-Modelling-wages-subject-to-both-contracted-increments-and-drift-by-means-of-a-simultaneous-equations-m-odel-with-non-standard-error-structure.pdf Pdf, 9.2 MB.
Working-paper-038-On-the-consistency-of-data-on-production,-deliveries-and-inventories-in-the-swedish-manufacturing-industry.pdf Pdf, 5.4 MB.
Working-paper-037-The-supply-side-in-the-econometric-model-kosmos.pdf Pdf, 13.2 MB.
Working-paper-036-Political-cycles-and-cyclical-policies.-a-new-test-approach-using-fiscal-forecasts.pdf Pdf, 10.4 MB.
Working-paper-035-Using-business-survey-data-for-forecasting-swedish-quantitative-business-cycle-variable.-a-kalman-filter-approach.pdf Pdf, 10.1 MB.
Working-paper-034-On-determinants-of-private-consumption-in-sweden.pdf Pdf, 26.1 MB.
Working-paper-033-Capital-rental-cost-and-the-adjustment-for-the-effects-of-the-investment-fund-system-in-the-econometric-model-kosmos.pdf Pdf, 5.2 MB.
Working-paper-032-A-long-run-equilibrium-model-for-sweden.-the-theory-behind-the-long-run-solution-to-the-econometric-model-kosmo.pdf Pdf, 8.5 MB.
Working-paper-031-Testing-the-constancy-of-regression-parameters-against-continous-change.pdf Pdf, 6 MB.
Working-paper-030b-Quantitative-production-series-compared-with-qualitative-business-survey-series-for-five-sectors-of-the-swedish-manufacturing-industry.pdf Pdf, 11 MB.
Working-paper-030a-The-full-tricotomous-scale-compared-with-net-balances-in-qualitative-business-survey-data-experiences-from-the-swedish-business-tendency-surveys.pdf Pdf, 3.7 MB.
Working-paper-029-Reputation-and-discretion-in-financial-contracting.pdf Pdf, 8.6 MB.
Working-paper-028-Equilibrium-in-an-electronic-open-limit-order-book.pdf Pdf, 11.6 MB.
Working-paper-027-How-important-are-block-trades-in-the-price-discovery-process.pdf Pdf, 5.8 MB.
Working-paper-026-Does-round-the-clock-trading-result-in-pareto-improvements.pdf Pdf, 5.8 MB.
Working-paper-025-Discretion-in-the-regulation-o-u.s.-banking.pdf Pdf, 7.6 MB.
Working-paper-024-Low-margins,-derivative-securitites-and-volatility.pdf Pdf, 9.1 MB.
Working-paper-023-Forecasting-car-expenditures-using-household-survey-data-a-comparison-of-different-predictors.pdf Pdf, 6.7 MB.
Working-paper-022-A-general-equilibrium-analysis-of-the-swedish-tax-reforms-1989-1991.pdf Pdf, 25.9 MB.
Working-paper-021-The-index-of-industrial-production-a-formal-description-of-the-process-behind-it.pdf Pdf, 6.4 MB.
Working-paper-020-Corporate-control,-portfolio-choice,-and-the-decline-of-banking.pdf Pdf, 12 MB.
Working-paper-019-Prediction-with-a-linear-regression-model-and-errors-in-a-regressor.pdf Pdf, 7.2 MB.
Working-paper-018-Volatility,-trading-mechanisms-and-international-cross-listing.pdf Pdf, 10.1 MB.
Working-paper-017-Eliciting-turning-point-warnings-from-business-tendency-surveys.pdf Pdf, 5.6 MB.
Working-paper-016-Sample-based-proportions-as-values-on-an-independent-variable-in-a-regression-model.pdf Pdf, 9.5 MB.
Working-paper-015-The-relationship-between-manufacturing-and-various-bts-series-in-sweden-illuminated-by-frequency-and-complex-demodulate-methods.pdf Pdf, 9.1 MB.
Working-paper-014-Business-survey-data-in-forecasting-the-output-of-swedish-and-finnish-metal-and-engineering-industries-a-kalman-filter-approach.pdf Pdf, 6.7 MB.
Working-paper-013-Forecasting-the-swedish-unemployment-rate-var-vs.-transfer-function-modelling.pdf Pdf, 10.3 MB.
Working-paper-012-The-relationship-between-manufacturing-production-and-different-business-survey-series-in-sweden.pdf Pdf, 12.8 MB.
Working-paper-011-Current-quarter-forecasts-of-swedish-gnp-using-monthly-variables.pdf Pdf, 5 MB.
Working-paper-010-Forecasting-the-business-cycle-not-using-minimum-autocorrelation-factors.pdf Pdf, 6.4 MB.
Working-paper-009-Forecasting-car-expenditures-using-household-survey-data.pdf Pdf, 9.8 MB.
Working-paper-008-Good-business-cycle-forecasts-a-must-for-stabilization-policies.pdf Pdf, 3.1 MB.
Working-paper-007-A-quarterly-consumption-function-for-sweden-1979-1989.pdf Pdf, 10.6 MB.
Working-paper-006-Consumer-attitudes,-buying-intentions-and-consumption-expenditures.-an-analysis-of-the-swedish-household-survey-data.pdf Pdf, 7.1 MB.
Working-paper-005-The-financial-sector-in-the-snepq-model.pdf Pdf, 9.1 MB.
Working-paper-004-The-supply-side-of-the-econometric-model-of-the-nier.pdf Pdf, 12.4 MB.
Working-paper-003-Mamtax-a-dynamic-cge-model-for-tax-reform-simulations.pdf Pdf, 17.5 MB.
Working-paper-002-Change-in-technical-structure-of-the-swedish-economy.pdf Pdf, 7.1 MB.
Working-paper-001-Current-account-and-business-cycles--stylized-facts-for-sweden.pdf Pdf, 10.5 MB.