News
All news and reports published by the NIER.
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Economic Tendency Survey
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October 2024
Weaker signals from the business sector
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Swedish Economy Report
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September
Swedish Economy Report September 2024
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Economic Tendency Survey
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September 2024
Still weak sentiment
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Economic Tendency Survey
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August 2024
Still a gloomier sentiment than normal
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Economic Tendency Survey
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July 2024
More and more households planning car purchase
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Economic Tendency Survey
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June 2024
Business sentiment close to normal
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Swedish Economy Report
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June
Swedish Economy Report June 2024
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Economic Tendency Survey
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May 2024
Consumer sentiment improves for an eighth straight month
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Economic Tendency Survey
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April 2024
Broad rise in the Economic Tendency Indicator
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Swedish Economy Report
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March
The recession bottoms out this year
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Economic Tendency Survey
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March 2024
Consumers more optimistic about the future
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Economic Tendency Survey
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February 2024
Selling prices close to normal
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Economic Tendency Survey
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January 2024
Brighter signals from all sectors
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Economic Tendency Survey
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December 2023
Tough times for construction
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Swedish Economy Report
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December
Swedish Economy Set to Grow Again in 2024
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Economic Tendency Survey
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November 2023
Many companies expect continued increases in sales prices
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Economic Tendency Survey
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October 2023
Home improvement plans at record low
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Swedish Economy Report
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September
High Inflation and Rising Interest Rates Erode Household Purchasing Power
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Economic Tendency Survey
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September 2023
Pessimistic consumers expect higher unemployment
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Economic Tendency Survey
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August 2023
Gloomy signals from the service sector
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Economic Tendency Survey
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July 2023
Weaker sentiment in the manufacturing industry
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Economic Tendency Survey
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June 2023
Slightly stronger sentiment in June
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Swedish Economy Report
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June
Swedish Economy Report
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Economic Tendency Survey
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May 2023
Consumer and retail indicators up but still weak
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Working Paper
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156
The Environmental Medium-Term Economic (EMEC) Model: Version 4
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Economic Tendency Survey
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April 2023
Fewer food retailers expect selling prices to rise
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Swedish Economy Report
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March
Swedish Economy Report
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Economic Tendency Survey
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March 2023
Tentative improvement in March
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Economic Tendency Survey
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February 2023
Some sectors rally in February
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Economic Tendency Survey
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January 2023
Manufacturing sentiment deteriorates further
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Swedish Economy Report
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December
Swedish Economy Report
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Economic Tendency Survey
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December 2022
The Economic Tendency Indicator remains at a low level
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Economic Tendency Survey
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November 2022
Decline in Economic Tendency Indicator slows down
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Economic Tendency Survey
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October 2022
Very weak sentiment in the economy
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Swedish Economy Report
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September
Swedish Economy Report
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Economic Tendency Survey
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September 2022
Confidence down across business sector, record-low among consumers
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Economic Tendency Survey
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August 2022
Consumers still very downbeat
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Economic Tendency Survey
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July 2022
Gloomy households but strong sentiment in business sector
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Economic Tendency Survey
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June 2022
Consumers see no improvement in the next year
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Swedish Economy Report
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June
Swedish Economy Report
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Economic Tendency Survey
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May 2022
Consumers downbeat, but businesses positive
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Economic Tendency Survey
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April 2022
Strong sentiment despite global uncertainty
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Swedish Economy Report
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March
Swedish Economy Report
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Economic Tendency Survey
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March 2022
Consumers as downbeat as during financial crisis
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Economic Tendency Survey
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February 2022
Retail trade bounced back in February
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Economic Tendency Survey
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January 2022
Broad decline in January
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Swedish Economy Report
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December
Swedish Economy Report
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Economic Tendency Survey
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December 2021
Economic Tendency Indicator still strong but consumers increasingly subdued
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Economic Tendency Survey
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November 2021
Retail trade alone rises in November
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Economic Tendency Survey
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October 2021
Strong signals from manufacturing
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Swedish Economy Report
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September
Swedish economy report september 2021
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Economic Tendency Survey
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September 2021
Economic Tendency Indicator still very strong
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Working Paper
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155
Automatic fiscal stabilizers in Sweden 1998–2019
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Economic Tendency Survey
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August 2021
Economic Tendency Indicator down marginally from record high
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Economic Tendency Survey
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July 2021
Manufacturers firing on all cylinders
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Economic Tendency Survey
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June 2021
The Economic Tendency Indicator still record-high
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Swedish Economy Report
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June
Output gap will close at the end of 2021 but labour market will lag behind
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Economic Tendency Survey
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May 2021
The Economic Tendency Indicator hits record high
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Economic Tendency Survey
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April 2021
Unusually strong upsurge in April
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Swedish Economy Report
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March
Swedish Economy Report
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Economic Tendency Survey
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March 2021
Confidence propped up by strong manufacturing industry
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Economic Tendency Survey
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February 2021
Confidence strengthens in February
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Working Paper
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154
Nowcasting Swedish GDP Growth
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Economic Tendency Survey
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January 2021
Manufacturing pulls up confidence in January
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Economic Tendency Survey
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December 2020
Business confidence gloomier in December
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Swedish Economy Report
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December
Swedish Economy Report December 2020
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Economic Tendency Survey
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November 2020
Retail indicator down in November
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Economic Tendency Survey
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October 2020
Brighter signals from all sectors
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Swedish Economy Report
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September
Swedish Economy Report September 2020
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Economic Tendency Survey
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September 2020
Manufacturing pulls up overall sentiment
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Working Paper
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153
Time-Varying Macroeconomic Forecast Uncertainty: Sweden and the Covid-19 Pandemic
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Economic Tendency Survey
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August 2020
Economic Tendency Indicator climbs further
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Swedish Economy Report
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August
Updated economic outlook
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Economic Tendency Survey
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July 2020
Confidence still low despite improvement in July
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Economic Tendency Survey
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June 2020
Much weaker situation than normal despite improvement in June
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Swedish Economy Report
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June
Pandemic to weigh on Swedish economy for at least another year
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Economic Tendency Survey
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May 2020
Economic tendency indicator still at record-low levels
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Swedish Economy Report
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April
Updated economic outlook
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Economic Tendency Survey
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April 2020
Record slide in Economic Tendency Indicator in April
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Swedish Economy Report
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April
Particularly deep economic downturn in the wake of COVID-19
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Economic Tendency Survey
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March 2020
Consumer indicator down sharply in March
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Economic Tendency Survey
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February 2020
Economic Tendency Indicator climbs to normal levels in February
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Economic Tendency Survey
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January 2020
Brighter signals from manufacturing
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Swedish Economy Report
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December 2019
Unemployment to rise and inflation to remain well below the Riksbank target
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Economic Tendency Survey
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December 2019
Bleak signals from service sector
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Economic Tendency Survey
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November 2019
Consumers unusually pessimistic about Swedish economy
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Economic Tendency Survey
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October 2019
Economic Tendency Indicator falls again in October
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Swedish Economy Report
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October 2019
Economic boom at an end
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Economic Tendency Survey
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September 2019
Consumers expecting increased unemployment
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Economic Tendency Survey
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August 2019
Economic Tendency Indicator falls for a fourth month
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Economic Tendency Survey
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July 2019
Weaker sentiment than normal in the economy
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Swedish Economy Report
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June 2019
Weaker investment as economy cools
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Economic Tendency Survey
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June 2019
Business confidence down across the board
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Economic Tendency Survey
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May 2019
Economic Tendency Indicator dips to historical average
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Economic Tendency Survey
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April 2019
Consumers more positive about their finances
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Swedish Economy Report
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March 2019
Booming economy set to cool down
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Economic Tendency Survey
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March 2019
Service sector cancels out downturn in manufacturing
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Economic Tendency Survey
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February 2019
Manufacturing continues to prop up tendency indicator
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Economic Tendency Survey
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January 2019
Broad-based decline in confidence in January
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Swedish Economy Report
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December 2018
Booming economy set to slow
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Economic Tendency Survey
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December 2018
The Economic Tendency indicator holds steady in December
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Economic Tendency Survey
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November 2018
Strong manufacturing industry props up tendency indicator
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Working Paper
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152
Forecasting Inflation in Sweden
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Economic Tendency Survey
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October 2018
Consumers expect Swedish economy to worsen over the next year
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Swedish Economy Report
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October 2018
Swedish economy will peak this year but remain buoyed by external demand next year
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Economic Tendency Survey
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September 2018
Strong rise in retail and service indicators
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Economic Tendency Survey
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August 2018
The Economic Tendency Indicator up for the third consecutive month
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Economic Tendency Survey
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July 2018
Manufacturing at peak capacity
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Working Paper
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151
EU ETS emissions under the cancellation mechanism
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Swedish Economy Report
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June 2018
Investment-driven upturn to peak in 2018
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Economic Tendency Survey
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June 2018
Continued optimism in June
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Economic Tendency Survey
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May 2018
Sharp drop in construction indicator
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Economic Tendency Survey
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April 2018
Manufacturing and construction lift indicator in april
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Swedish Economy Report
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March 2018
Economy to strengthen further and peak in 2019
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Economic Tendency Survey
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March 2018
Consumers less upbeat
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Economic Tendency Survey
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February 2018
Builders and consumers less optimistic
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Economic Tendency Survey
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January 2018
Sentiment positive despite weaker signals from manufacturing and service sector
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Swedish Economy Report
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December 2017
Strong economy faces increased risks
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Economic Tendency Survey
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December 2017
Manufacturing sentiment stronger than normal despite December fall
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Working Paper
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150
Assessing the Rebound Effect in Energy Intensive Industries
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Economic Tendency Survey
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November 2017
Upbeat consumers see low risk of unemployment
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Economic Tendency Survey
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October 2017
Most positive view of demand for a decade
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Swedish Economy Report
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October 2017
Expansionary budget drives economic boom
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Economic Tendency Survey
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September 2017
Manufacturing indicator goes from strength to strength
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Working Paper
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149
Wage Flexibility in a Unionized Economy with Stable Wage Dispersion
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Economic Tendency Survey
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August 2017
Economic tendency indicator still strong
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Economic Tendency Survey
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July 2017
Major labour shortages in the business sector
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Swedish Economy Report
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June 2017
Growing output gap
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Economic Tendency Survey
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June 2017
Retailers more upbeat
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Economic Tendency Survey
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May 2017
Households more positive about the Swedish economy
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Economic Tendency Survey
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April 2017
Manufacturers extraordinarily upbeat
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Swedish Economy Report
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March 2017
Exports boost robust Swedish economy
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Economic Tendency Survey
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March 2017
Firms optimistic about the near future
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Working Paper
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148
Direct and indirect effects of waste management policies on household waste behaviour: The case of Sweden
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Economic Tendency Survey
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February 2017
Retail rebounds as tendency indicator remains firmly positive
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Economic Tendency Survey
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January 2017
Confidence remains high
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Swedish Economy Report
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December 2016
Business and consumer optimism fuels economic growth
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Economic Tendency Survey
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December 2016
Broad-based strength
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Economic Tendency Survey
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November 2016
Retail the only sector to fall in November
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Working Paper
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147
Short Run Effects of Fiscal Policy on GDP and Employment: Swedish Evidence
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Economic Tendency Survey
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October 2016
Consumer confidence climbs further
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Working Paper
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146
Forecasting Goods and Services Inflation in Sweden
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Working Paper
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145
Do Inflation Expectations Granger Cause Inflation?
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Economic Tendency Survey
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September 2016
Consumers more upbeat about the economy
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Swedish Economy Report
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August 2016
Fiscal policy needs to be tightened
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Economic Tendency Survey
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August 2016
Manufacturers report lower export orders
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Economic Tendency Survey
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July 2016
Companies report labour shortages
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Swedish Economy Report
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June 2016
Booming economy and falling unemployment call for fiscal tightening
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Economic Tendency Survey
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June 2016
Consumers more upbeat in June
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Working Paper
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144
Forecasting Employment Growth in Sweden Using Bayesian VAR Models
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Economic Tendency Survey
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May 2016
Business confidence down but still in positive territory
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Economic Tendency Survey
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April 2016
Shortage of staff in several business sectors
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Working Paper
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143
Quasi-Real-Time Data of the Economic Tendency Survey
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The Forecast Database
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Swedish Economy Report
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March 2016
Economic policy fuelling strong growth
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Economic Tendency Survey
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March 2016
Manufacturing industry still strong
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Working Paper
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142
The Rise in Life Expectancy, Health Trends among the Elderly, and the Demand for Health and Social Care
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Economic Tendency Survey
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February 2016
Firms send strong employment signals
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Economic Tendency Survey
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January 2016
Strong confidence among firms
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Swedish Economy Report
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December 2015
Swedish economy entering a boom period
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Economic Tendency Survey
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December 2015
Economic Tendency Indicator points to much stronger economic growth than normal
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Working Paper
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141
IOR – NIER's Input-Output Model of the Swedish Economy
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Economic Tendency Survey
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November 2015
Economic Tendency Indicator drops back in November
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Economic Tendency Survey
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October 2015
Firms more optimistic, but consumers expect tougher times for the Swedish economy
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Economic Tendency Survey
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September 2015
Economic Tendency Indicator up for a third month
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Working Paper
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139
Do Swedish Consumer Confidence Indicators Do What They Are Intended to Do?
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Swedish Economy Report
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August 2015
Tighter budgets as economy strengthens
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Economic Tendency Survey
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August 2015
Consumers more confident in the economy in August
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Economic Tendency Survey
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July 2015
The Economic Tendency Indicator rose in July
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Swedish Economy Report
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June 2015
Economy strengthening but risks remain
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Economic Tendency Survey
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June 2015
Firms optimistic but consumers downbeat about the Swedish economy
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Economic Tendency Survey
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May 2015
Economic Tendency Indicator higher and pointing to strong economic growth
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Economic Tendency Survey
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April 2015
Consumers pessimistic about the Swedish economy
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Swedish Economy Report
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March 2015
Brighter outlook for exports and the economy
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Economic Tendency Survey
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March 2015
Consumers upbeat about the buying climate
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Working Paper
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138
Macroeconomic Effects of a Decline in Housing Prices in Sweden
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Working Paper
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137
Appropriate Macroeconomic Model Support for the Ministry of Finance and the National Institute of Economic Research: A Pilot Study
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Economic Tendency Survey
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February 2015
Expansive recruitment plans in the construction sector
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Working Paper
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136
A Statistical Analysis of Revisions of Swedish National Accounts Data
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Economic Tendency Survey
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January 2015
Firms optimistic but consumers more negative
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Swedish Economy Report
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December 2014
Weak euro area hampers Swedish growth
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Economic Tendency Survey
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December 2014
Economic tendency indicator hits one-year high
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Economic Tendency Survey
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November 2014
Consumers increasingly downbeat about the Swedish economy
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Economic Tendency Survey
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October 2014
Industry looking up, consumers more downbeat
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Working Paper
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135
Effects of US Policy Uncertainty on Swedish GDP Growth
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Economic Tendency Survey
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September 2014
Service sector losing momentum
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Swedish Economy Report
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August 2014
Swedish economy marking time
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Economic Tendency Survey
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August 2014
Rising at a leisurely pace
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Economic Tendency Survey
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July 2014
Swedish economy recovering slowly
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Swedish Economy Report
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June 2014
Continued sluggish recovery
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Economic Tendency Survey
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June 2014
Economic Tendency Indicator rallies in June
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Economic Tendency Survey
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May 2014
Economic Tendency Indicator drops back in May
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Economic Tendency Survey
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April 2014
Economic Tendency Indicator rebounds after two months in decline
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Swedish Economy Report
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March 2014
Tentative economic recovery
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Economic Tendency Survey
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March 2014
Economic Tendency Indicator heading down towards normal levels
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Working Paper
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134
The Euro Crisis and Swedish GDP Growth— A Study of Spillovers
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Economic Tendency Survey
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February 2014
Almost all indicators fell in February
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Economic Tendency Survey
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January 2014
Tendency indicator up more than 20 points in just over a year
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Working Paper
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133
Challenges in Soft-Linking: The Case of EMEC and TIMES-Sweden
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Swedish Economy Report
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December 2013
Clear recovery hampered by weakness abroad
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Economic Tendency Survey
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December 2013
Economic Tendency Indicator at its highest since 2011
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Working Paper
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132
Exchange Rates, Wages, and Export Price Dynamics
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Economic Tendency Survey
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November 2013
Economic Tendency Indicator gains another 2.4 points in November
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Working Paper
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131
Forecasting Business Investment in the Short Term Using Survey Data
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Working Paper
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130
Survey Data and Short-Term Forecasts of Swedish GDP Growth
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Lönebildningsrapporten
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129
On the Usefulness of Constant Gain Least Squares when Forecasting the Unemployment Rate
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Swedish Economy Report
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August 2013
Clearer signs of impending recovery
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Swedish Economy Report
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June 2013
Slow recovery from autumn onwards
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Swedish Economy Report
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March 2013
Small Steps toward Better Days
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Lönebildningsrapporten
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128
Central Bank Forecasts of Policy Interest Rates: An Evaluation of the First Years
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Working Paper
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127
Policy Interest-Rate Expectations in Sweden: A Forecast Evaluation
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Working Paper
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126
Forecasting Inflation Using Constant Gain Least Squares
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Working Paper
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124
Scenarios and Sustainability
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125
Making Climate Policy Efficient
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Working Paper
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123
The Excess Cost of Supplementary Constraints in Climate Policy: The Case of Sweden's Energy Intensity Target
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Working Paper
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120
Labor-Force Participation Rates and the Informational Value of Unemployment Rates
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Working Paper
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121
The Forecasting Properties of Survey-Based Wage-Growth Expectations